Saturday, September 09, 2006

PREDICTIONS & PUNDITRY: Democrats could lose by winning

I have a sneaking suspicion that if the Democrats do take a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, they will almost certainly guarantee a GOP victory in the 2008 presidential contest. Why? They will be placed in the position of having to actually deliver legislation concerning real issues like the Global War on Terrorism.

But I believe their Bush Derangement Syndrome is so complete, they will not be able to present a sane, capable and trustworthy face to the voters over the next two years. They will be unable to stop themselves from launching their own jihad against the Bush/Cheney/Haliburton/Neo-Con regime with impeachment hearings on how President Bush "lied" about some such thing.

Such an unseemly, undignified and nakedly partisan attack on President Bush will create a backlash and ensure a Republican recovery in 2008.

However, if the GOP holds on to the House, the Democrats remain out of power and they will be free to continue their non-specific agenda of attack while offering no real alternate solutions. This keeps them viable for the 2008 contest.

It is a little bit like the dilemma that Democrats faced in 1999. If President Bill Clinton were convicted and removed from office after impeachment, a President Al Gore would have most certainly prevailed in the 2000 election over Governor George W. Bush or whichever Republican captured the nomination.

Democrats need to be careful what they wish for at the 2006 polls.

Win in 2006, lose in 2008.

(Unless they really want to govern and not just take off after Bush… nah, govern, shmuvern.)

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