Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Election 2006 Predictions


Here are my prediction on the 2006 elections.

Republican gubernatorial candidate Len Munsil breaks through the 40% barrier but Democrat incumbent Gov. Janet Napolitano cruises to victory.

Munsil’s percentage statewide will be higher than GOP CD8 nominee Randy Graf's total in his district.

CD5 incumbent J.D. Hayworth (R) squeaks by Harry Mitchell (D).

Sen. Jon Kyl beats Democrat Jim Pederson by 6 percent.

Arizona Propositions:

Proposition 100 wins.
Proposition 101 loses.
Proposition 102 wins.
Proposition 103 wins.
Proposition 104 wins.
Proposition 105 loses.
Proposition 106 loses.
Proposition 107 wins.
Proposition 200 loses.
Proposition 201 wins.
Proposition 202 wins.
Proposition 203 wins.
Proposition 204 wins.
Proposition 205 wins.

Proposition 206 wins (with more votes than Proposition 201.)
Proposition 207 wins.
Proposition 300 wins.
Proposition 301 wins.

Proposition 302 loses.

Big story of the evening: GOP does better than expected.

Maryland GOP Senate nominee Mike Steele wins taking a Democratic Senate seat.

PA’s Santorum, OH’s DeWine, RI’s Chafee will lose GOP seats. MO’s Talent, MT’s Burns, VA’s Allen and TN’s Corker hold GOP seats. Democratic net gain of 2 in the U.S. Senate (maybe 3 with Burns going down, if 4 then its Talent going down too)

Democrats take the U.S. House but with a 20 or fewer seat pick up.

AZ’s John Shadegg will be elected GOP Leader, probably the minority leader before the year is out.

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